Why Mispricing Happens

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Mispricing exploitation in options refers to taking advantage of price inefficiencies between options and their theoretical values. Traders who spot these mismatches can execute strategies to lock in low-risk or risk-free profits—a technique commonly used in arbitrage or relative value trading.


🧠 Why Mispricing Happens

CauseExplanation
Volatility misestimationImplied volatility deviates from actual (realized) vol
Bid-ask spread inefficienciesWidened due to low liquidity or fast markets
Latency / DelayQuote or pricing delay between exchanges
Model vs Market Price GapsDifferences between theoretical model price vs live quote

📊 Simple Example – Call-Put Parity Violation

Under put-call parity, this must be true (for European options on non-dividend stocks):

Call PricePut Price=Stock PriceStrike Price×ert\text{Call Price} - \text{Put Price} = \text{Stock Price} - \text{Strike Price} \times e^{-rt}

If the actual prices violate this equation, an arbitrage opportunity may exist.

Example:

  • Stock Price (S) = $100

  • Strike Price (K) = $100

  • Time to expiration = 1 year

  • Risk-free rate = 5%

  • Call Price = $10

  • Put Price = $14

Theoretical difference=100100×e0.05×14.88\text{Theoretical difference} = 100 - 100 × e^{-0.05×1} ≈ 4.88 Actual difference=1014=4\text{Actual difference} = 10 - 14 = -4

There's a mispricing of nearly $8.88, which creates arbitrage potential.


🛠 Exploiting This

  1. Buy the underpriced option (Call)

  2. Sell the overpriced option (Put)

  3. Short the stock or hedge exposure as needed

  4. At expiry, the mispricing converges, locking in a theoretical profit


💹 Real-World Strategy: Box Spread Arbitrage

A box spread uses mispricing between vertical call and put spreads.

  • Buy a bull call spread

  • Sell a bear put spread

  • Both with same strikes

  • If total cost ≠ width of spread, you can create a riskless gain or synthetic loan


🚫 Risks in Practice

RiskExplanation
Execution RiskPrices can change before all legs are filled
Transaction FeesMultiple contracts increase cost
Early Exercise RiskEspecially in American options
Model ErrorYour calculation of "fair value" could be off

🧠 Summary

Mispricing exploitation in options is about identifying discrepancies between actual and fair value and building strategies (like box spreads or parity trades) to profit from them. It's a low-risk, high-skill technique often used by quant firms, market makers, or professionals.






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